If we would like to find guaranteed profitable sports bets then soccer is a good sports to begin with. Soccer matches are priced up by all the big bookmakers and some nice guaranteed profitable bets are available if you know when and where to look. Sports bookmakers never miss a trick when thinking up new ways to extract your hard earned money from you and there are lots of inventive bets on offer.
Soccer can in several ways be about timing. The sooner the price appears the much more likely you will have a sure-bet or arbitrage opportunity (arb).
Bookmakers clearly do plenty of research as soccer has now be a big earner to them. They have to accomplish this because they are only too conscious of the serious punters are becoming much shrewder in this market and can exploit any snippets of news that could provide them with an advantage. They advertise heavily within the tabloids.
Whereas in a few minor sports there may be only one odds compiler working for the bookmaker soccer is just too lucrative for this particular any many odds compilers will work feverishly setting prices for your big bookmakers. Any European bookmaker worth its salt will provide odds on soccer, its a high revenue turnover sport.
Such could be the turnover on the escalating IBO88 that Ladbrokes along with other such big bookmakers are willing to require a ‘big’ bet on the outcome of a match. This can be clearly great news for that arb maker. Because of this the maximum bets they will likely accept over a bet are much higher.
There are many types of soccer bets. Firstly you have the match winner. This is split into 3 results, win, lose or draw. Then there are the first goal scorer and also the precise match score. The less obvious bets are half-time, full time results, total corners, total throw-ins, total quantities of yellow and red cards and so forth. Actually anything where odds can be set to will provide a betting opportunity.
So which are the best soccer bets to search for? Firstly forget about predicting the match score, there are a lot of outcomes. The initial goal scorer is a total waste of time too. Both these sorts of bets are heavily advertised but are for mug punters only, the percentages consistently available are poor, the bookmakers regularly taking over 15% profit on the book. These bets have too many possible outcomes. We are trying to find bets with ideally 2 or 3 possible outcomes.
The way to play the soccer market is to open up accounts with European bookmakers since the difference in opinion between UK and European bookmakers is a good source of sure bets. Both have strong opinions about this sport. They are going to price the sport in their own individual country as well as the matches in foreign countries. Anything to produce a profit.
Italy, for example is even more soccer crazy compared to the UK, with newspapers dedicated to the game. Everyone thinks they know best on this subject and egos get when it comes to sensible pricing. This really is great news for all of us. The European bookmakers can be opinionated and where because they may well have greater detailed knowledge of the comings and goings in their own individual countries they are relying on third parties to collate info on their foreign counterparts.
One good starting point is at midweek games between groups of different nationalities. You will find a tendency in punters to obtain patriotic with regards to events where opposition are ‘foreign’. The probability of the home team get talked up and also the odds could get skewed inside their favour as the weight of cash is overly wagered within their direction.
With that in mind the big bookmakers offer an early price, they will often advertise it within the national papers and in general stick to it. Because of this a bench mark has become set and subsequent bookmakers may have a different opinion or try to tempt cash in their direction by giving different odds. If this type of would happen the arb may be around for a great deal of time.
There will always be discrepancies in odds but clearly bookmakers have a tendency to stick around the same price. They figure there is safety in numbers. But remember these are ‘guessing’ just what the odds ought to be just like you together with me. They are basing their opinion on past experience and they might utilise statistical formulae nevertheless they still must form an opinion on the likely outcome.
They can obtain it wrong along with other firms can require a completely different take a look at the end result of the game. A totally different view will only result in a slight variation in the odds but this can be sufficient to offer a sure bet profit.
Another approach is first of all the better obscure games in eg. the Spanish, Italian or Norweigen lower divisions. They can have quite lucrative discrepancies. They will be protected by many different bookmakers throughout Europe. This may however give a complication. Although really simple for finding arbs, the mere proven fact that you focus on these obscure matches will throw up the possibility that you will get spotted by the bookmakers if you concentrate your action here.
Also they will probably be reluctant to accept high maximum bets on matches where they have got done little research. On the other hand this is a training ground for arb spotting and may gain you valuable experience. You should weigh up the advantages and disadvantages of the strategy.
It is a fairly obscure area of betting and in case someone would be to check your account over a number of months and found solely these obscure foreign matches on your own account it may ring alarm bells. The motto is to dilute the bets by betting on as many different form of sport and events as possible which means that your accounts have varied bets on them. This shouldn’t be a problem as much different sports are perfect for sure bets.
The more prominent European ties will also produce arbs and they are not as likely to bring in attention to you together with the highest bets will be higher.
As before you are unable to control if the individual bets win or lose but soccer is a 3 way result and thus 2 losing bets to one winning one can be of use on your own account. The point is which not so many people are considering the lower European divisions and it may become clear the betting pattern is a touch unusual. This is also true in case your bets to the maximum permitted.
Injury news can be a lucrative area in soccer. Think it over. When a player fails a late fitness test over a Saturday and he is the teams star striker than the will greatly affect their chances. Recently Alan Shearer turned as much as play a premiership game for Newcastle but was declared unfit to play in the last minute. Newcastle were soundly beaten. I am just not implying this wouldn’t have happened, I don’t know. But the odds on the game clearly changed the minute this news broke.
Some bookmakers were alert for this and altered prices since the money poured set for the opposition. Some were slow to react or will not have reacted at all. Either way arbs were available. This type of last minute frantic activity is especially keen on the betting exchanges like Betfair that you can act as the punter or the bookmaker (lay bets).
You can find injury news through among the many soccer web sites. Alternatively satellite television channels also have comprehensive news coverage of all games and they are quick to offer you any ‘off the press’ news. Slowly the bookmakers’ prices will all change, however, not all at the same time, only one after the other so creating sure bets.
Within this scenario where charges are changing bet on the old price first. The newest cost is one that wont change the old price is the one which is going to and so may be lost in case you are not quick.
To re-emphasise, arb hunting can be information on timing. When the odds are first produced or have reason to change then your arbs are more likely to show up.
Recently the English referees are becoming more lenient in the issuing of yellow cards. This had an effect on the prices for the total variety of bookings in a game. A few of the bookmakers adjusted their prices accordingly and others did not. This may change the bet ranges requested total bookings.
Let’s glance at the red and yellow card market. In the event you didn’t know the yellow and red cards bet is calculated as 10 points for any yellow card and 25 points to get a red. A player can get a maximum of 35 points in a match (10 25).
The betting here is normally divided into 3 ranges. Under 11 points at say odds of 100/30, 11 to 30 points, at 6/4 and also over 30 points, by far the most likely outcome, at about 11/10. This doesn’t vary much unless there xmjyld a medical history of animosity in between the teams by which case the odds are adjusted accordingly.
Usually this type of bet is not going to figure strongly in your plans. Also it is unusual to find information being issued that can change the total bookings bet. But a simple part of news like the plan for issuing cards has just changed can affect prices and lead to one or more arb. The final outcome is not to expect excessive sure betting activity through the issuing of red and yellow cards but it simple enough to check the chances.